Author Archives: Simon Singh

Lectures . . .

Due to new projects and a lack of time, I give far fewer talks nowadays, so it is unlikely that you will find anything on this page.

If you want to find out if I am giving a talk near you, then the best option is to follow me on twitter via @SLSingh.

If you would like to book me for a talk, then please visit the Good Thinking website, where I am raising money to fund new projects.

And …. you will also find some of my talks and other videos featuring me on YouTube.

 

Alienese in Simpsorama

I explained the mathematics in SIMPSORAMA in my previous blog, but I forgot to mention the alienese message, which uses the same code that regularly appeared in “Futurama”. The image below is not very clear, but the message appears on the yellow billboard above Jimbo Jones’s hat. You can just about decipher it using the key provided at the Infosphere – it reads:

CONGRAT-
ULATIONS
YOU’RE A
NERD

Simsoprama alien code

SIMPSORAMA

Yesterday (Sunday 7 December), UK fans watched SIMPSORAMA, the Simpsons/Futurama crossover episode. As promised by Al Jean when he was in London in September, the episode contained plenty of mathematics.Frink and BenderWhen Professor Frink looks inside Bender’s head there are five equations:

(A) Fermat’s Little Theorem – the basis for the Fermat primality test, as discussed by James Grime on Numberphile.
(B) The Riemann Hypothesis – an unsolved conjecture, one of the Clay Millennium Problems, and worth $1 million if you can prove (or disprove it). More at Numberphile (explained brilliantly by @EdFrenkel).
(C) The Prime Number Theorem – describes the distribution and density of primes. Again more at the wonderful Numberphile.
(D) The Travelling Salesman Problem – a problem that asks: “Given a list of cities and the distances between them, what’s the shortest possible route that visits each city once and returns to the first city”. The statement in Bender’s head states that the TSP belongs to the set of problems that can be solved in so-called ‘polynomial time’, but nobody has yet proven this statement. This is the third time that the writers of The Simpsons and Futurama have touched on this area, which revolves around the problem of P v NP, More at PLUS, which also looks at a film based on the problem.
(E) The Riemann zeta function set to zero – this sets up the Riemann hypothesis in (C). Again, there is an excellent explanation at Numberphile. Watch it carefully and you will be able to grasp the most important problem in modern mathematics.

Obviously, none of this appears in my book “The Simpsons and Their Mathematical Secrets”, but I will probably add to the epilogue in a few years time.

In the meantime, you might like to take a look at this video about Simpsorama by or take a look at the brilliant Infosphere website, which has a page dedicated to Simpsorama.

PS. Thanks to Rob Low, Jon Woodcock, @MattBecker82, @timlimbim (Tim and Joel Cawte) & @HenstridgeSJ for their help in deciphering equation (E).
 

 

 

Overseas translation of my books (signed) in return for £10 donation to a good cause.

Unfortunately, this offer is only available to UK-based readers.untitled

A Brazilian translation of The Simpsons & Their Mathematical Secrets
(Os Segredos  Matematicos dos Simpsons )

An Chinese translation of The Code Book

An Italian translation of The Code Book
(Codici & Secreti)

A Japanese & a Korean edition of Trick or Treatment

 

To get a signed copy, just email me which translation you would like and your address via http://www.simonsingh.net/contact/

Then, after the book has safely arrived, please donate £10 to my pro-science (anti-pseudoscience) charity – http://www.justgiving.com/sci

Thanks,
Simon.

BCA v Singh in Songh

An unusual book appeared in the post this week, courtesy of Stephen Todd, professor of law at Nottingham University. He has taken various legal cases and set them to music, and the result is “Leading Cases in Song” (available in book form at Amazon & as a recording on iTunes – more information here).

I was delighted to see my own libel case set to the tune of “A Policeman’s Lot Is Not A Happy One“. The song sheet is further below, and better still you can hear a verse of Professor Todd’s lyrics being performed by clicking the play button.

.DoG-SimpsonsMaths-MPU-300x250_2

coverscore

— “Woo hoo!” & “Good news, everyone!” — ***** The Simpsons and Their Mathematical Secrets ***** ***** is now out in paperback!

DoG-SimpsonsMaths-MPU-300x250_2Guardian-SimpsonsMaths-MPU-300x250At last, “The Simpsons and Their Mathematical Secrets” is out in paperback. Just £6.29 from Amazon, just £6.59 from indy online bookstore Hive (free delivery to your local bookstore) and just £4.63 on kindle.

Last month the Al Jean (exec producer of THE SIMPSONS) and David X. Cohen (exec producer of FUTURAMA) came to London for a special event at the Science Museum to discuss mathematics. Below are some pictures from their visit to the museum. There is also a blog about the event, including some great video clips from our discussion.

Me, Al Jean and David X. Cohen talk about the fax they sent to David Bailey at NASA when they wanted Apu to cite the 40,000th decimal place of pi.

Me, Al Jean and David X. Cohen talk about the fax that they sent to David Bailey at NASA when they wanted Apu to cite the 40,000th decimal place of pi.

A gang of us staring at the Next Cube computer, which Tim Berners-Lee used to write his proposal for the World Wide Web that he submitted on 12 March 1989.

A gang of us staring at the Next Cube computer, which Tim Berners-Lee used to write his proposal for the World Wide Web. He submitted his proposal on 12 March 1989.

Me and David X. Cohen in front of the 200-year-old Puffing Billy.

Me and David X. Cohen in front of the 200-year-old Puffing Billy.

Great to meet so many Simpsons, Futurama and mathematics fans at the Science Museum.

Great to meet so many Simpsons, Futurama and mathematics fans at the Science Museum.

DoG-SimpsonsMaths-MPU-300x250_2Guardian-SimpsonsMaths-MPU-300x250

How did Homer Simpson work out the mass of the Higgs?

The extract below, which is from my book “The Simpsons and Their Mathematical Secrets”, explains how Homer Simpsons worked out the mass of the Higgs boson in the episode “The Wizard of Evergreen Terrace”.
The book does not contain the calculations required to derive the mass, but Megan Schmidt has kindly shown her workings, which are at the bottom of the page. (BTW Megan has a mathematics blog called MathyBeagle.)

Higgs Simpsons

Higgs workings

University of Reading stands by its appalling Turing Test press release


 

On June 8, 2014, the University of Reading issued a press release: “Turing Test success marks milestone in computing history“.

This resulted in a massive media frenzy, which was then followed by a backlash (e.g., Techdirt) which argued that the press release had super-hyped the story, thus leading to appalling media coverage. Of course, uncritical and lazy journalists share some of the blame for misleading the public, but in my opinion the University of Reading’s press release started the problem.

Hence, I emailed the university and below you can see our chain of communication.

Charles Heymann (Head of News, University of Reading) has confirmed that he is “happy” for me “to put this correspondence into the public domain”. He also stated that “the Vice-Chancellor … has seen the full correspondence and has nothing further to add.”

There are no fireworks, just a complete brick wall in terms of admitting any errors.

EMAIL 1 from Simon Singh

Dear Sir David [Vice-Chancellor],

I am concerned about recent press coverage of a Turing Test competition. The reporting appears to have been a response to a University of Reading press release. The coverage was often inaccurate, largely because the press release appears to have been exaggerated. I am not sure who is to blame (those who were quoted? those who compiled the press release and perhaps took quotes out of context? those who pushed for a hyped press release?), but the result has been very poor media coverage of an important area of computer research.

In the last 48 hours, many have expressed similar concerns, and the backlash (unfortunately, sometimes personal) to the story has been growing. I am hoping that the press office has learned some lessons about the harm caused by overhyping stories. I would appreciate your reaction to this, and whether or not you acknowledge the problems caused by the Reading press release.

I look forward to hearing from you. Some examples of the backlash and the original press release are below.

Best Regards,

Simon Singh.

Science Journalist & Author of “Fermat’s Last Theorem”, etc.

http://www.neowin.net/news/that-claim-that-a-computer-passed-the-turing-test-was-crap—and-heres-why

http://www.buzzfeed.com/kellyoakes/no-a-computer-did-not-just-pass-the-turing-test

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/06/09/turing-test-eugene-goostman_n_5474457.html

https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20140609/07284327524/no-computer-did-not-pass-turing-test-first-time-everyone-should-know-better.shtml

http://www.reading.ac.uk/news-and-events/releases/PR583836.aspx

 

REPLY 1 from Dr Huma Shah

Dear Simon,

Thank you for copying me in on an email to Sir David Bell.

The hysteria in the media, with articles/comments from people like Jack Copeland and Stevan Harnad, has emerged from a misunderstanding of what exactly is ‘passing the Turing test’.

I understand one term in the original press release “supercomputer” caused concern: when people tried to chat to Eugene Goostman machine on the web they found that it was not what they imagined – probably robots in the movies have raised our expectations.

As you know, Turing’s ideas on examining machine intelligence was through unrestricted text-based questions-answers put by “average interrogators” (Turing, 1950ǂ) in a “jury panel” (Turing, 1952*). If the media would refer to Turing’s scholarship it might enlighten them.

I’ll try now, because it explains our experiment design.

In 1950, in ǂ‘Computing Machinery and Intelligence’ (Mind journal, Vol. 59, No, 236, pp. 433-460) Turing wrote:

“In order that tones of voice may not help the interrogator the answers should be written, or better still typewritten” (p. 434)

–              and

“The question and answer method seems to be suitable for introducing almost any one of the fields of human endeavour that we wish to include” (p, 435)

Turing then gave an example question-answer exchange, in his rebuttal to the Argument from Consciousness, a response to a “very well expressed” opinion of “Professor Jefferson’s Lister Oration in 1949”, between a human interrogator and a ‘witness’ machine in a viva voce (one-to-one) test, Turing said

“if the answers were as satisfactory and sustained as in the above passage I do not think he would  describe it as an ‘ easy contrivance ’ ”  (p. 446)

About duration for the machine examination by text-based conversation Turing said:

“I believe that in in about fifty years’ time it will be possible to programme machines, with a storage capacity of about 10 to the power of 9 , to make them play the imitation game so well that an average interrogator will not have more than 70 per cent. chance of making the right identification after five minutes of questioning” (Mind journal, p. 442).

The above quote is where the 30% pass rate interpretation comes from.

Our tests were of 5 minutes (first impressions) duration implementing the simultaneous comparison Turing test, that is, each human judge interrogated two hidden entities in parallel at the Royal Society 6-7 June 2014.

After the 150 tests had concluded, the Judges’ scores were checked and verified by an independent adjudication team led by Professor John Barnden of Birmingham University. The judges were unidentifiable to the adjudication team from their score sheets, having event IDs J1 and so on to J30 for the 30 human interrogators. These judges, as well as the 30 hidden humans came from all walks of life: academics, to school pupils, mathematicians to vets, male and female, adults and teenagers, native and non-native English speaker.

Eugene Goostman machine convinced one third of the 30 human judges that it was human: ten of the judges thought they were talking to a human when in fact it was a machine.

This performance by Eugene is not unusual or unexpected, because it convinced 29.17% of a different set of 30 judges that it was human in the Bletchley Park Turing tests held on the 100th anniversary of Alan Turing’s birth, 23 June 2012. And in 2008 Reading University Turing test event, Eugene convinced 25% of the judges that it was human (though it was placed second in that event).

Our Turing test event at the Royal Society was open and free to all and anyone to attend, see the Turing2014 blog for pictures of visitors standing around the two large TV screens displaying conversations from the Judges’ terminals: http://turingtestsin2014.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/eugene-goostman-machine-convinced-3333.html

The backlash comes from an ignorance of what the Turing test actually is – reading Turing’s scholarship might help, and also different philosophical interpretations of it.

We challenge those who disagree with our Turing tests to stage their own public Turing test experiment and submit their results for peer-review.

I stand by the press release and our Turing test experiment based on my PhD: ‘Deception-detection and machine intelligence in practical Turing tests’.

We will be submitting the results from the Royal Society Turing tests, all the scores and corresponding judge-hidden entities’ conversations for peer-review in the relevant academic journals as we have done previously. One of the last from the 2012 tests can be found in the journal IEEE Transactions on Computational Intelligence and AI in Games: ‘Good Machine Performance in Turing’s Imitation Game’ here:

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/articleDetails.jsp?reload=true&arnumber=6609034

Thank you,

Huma

* A.M. Turing. Can Automatic Calculating Machines be said to Think? 1952. In S.B. Cooper & J. van Leeuewn (Eds) Alan Turing: His Life and Impact. Elsevier: Oxford. 2013

—-

Dr. Huma Shah

Co-ordinator 2014 Turing tests at The Royal Society:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Hgw9RVwbaw&feature=youtu.be

Contributing author in 2013 RR Hawkins Prize winning book ‘Alan Turing: His Life and Impact’

http://www.proseawards.com/current-winners.html

Robotics, Intelligence, Control and Energy Lab School of Systems Engineering http://www.reading.ac.uk/sse/about/staff/h-shah.aspx

http://reading.academia.edu/HumaShah

Wired: Beyond Asimov: the struggle to develop a legal framework for robots http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2013-02/18/robolaw?page=all

Guardian: Smart robots, driverless cars

http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/oct/20/artificial-intelligence-impact-lives#start-of-comments

Member of the Alan Turing Centenary Advisory Committee (TCAC) http://www.mathcomp.leeds.ac.uk/turing2012/

Lead scientist Turing100in 2012 at Bletchley Park & Coorganiser Turing Education Day: http://turing100.blogspot.co.uk/http://www.aboutmyarea.co.uk/Buckinghamshire/Milton-Keynes/MK1/News/Local-News/225953-Turing-Education-Day-at-Bletchey-Park

EMAIL 2 from Simon Singh

Dear Huma,
Thank you for your prompt response, but I think  you fundamentally miss or ignore the key point. The media hysteria was a result of a press release that was in my opinion designed to generate media hysteria. I look forward to hearning from Sir David Bell. In the meantime, below are some phrases in the press release that helped generate the hysteria.
Simon.
An historic milestone in artificial intelligence …. Turing Test was passed for the very first time … This historic event … “In the field of Artificial Intelligence there is no more iconic and controversial milestone than the Turing Test… This milestone will go down in history as one of the most exciting.”

 

REPLY 2 from Charles Hemann (Head of News)

Dear Simon.

Thanks for your email.

I am the Head of News at the University of Reading and the Vice-Chancellor’s office has asked me to respond fully on his behalf.

Professor Warwick and Dr Shah have run three Turing Test experiments and published seven peer-reviewed papers together on the subject, as well as other publications. Their book on the Test will be published by Cambridge University Press later this year: http://www.reading.ac.uk/sse/about/staff/h-shah.aspx. Professor Warwick and Dr Shah will be writing a research paper on this year’s Turing Test event – which they will submit for peer review and publication in due course.

The Turing Test event at the Royal Society was open to the public, with the tests and results independently verified by Professor John Barnden from the University of Birmingham. They set careful and strict parameters in line with their experienced interpretation of the Test – including simultaneous tests; unrestricted conversations; and judges not being told anything about computer programmes/hidden human they were conversing with beforehand. Dr Shah has set out all of this out in detail to you.

In Professor Warwick and Dr Shah’s view, it was the first time that a genuine Turing Test had been “passed”, which they considered a highly significant milestone.

The Turing Test is controversial by definition – there is debate whether it is a genuine test or thought experiment let alone whether there is a “passmark”. Any declaration of it being “passed” is bound to generate debate which Professor Warwick is more than happy to engage in.

The University’s academic reputation is worth far more than chasing publicity for the sake of publicity. This is a principle we apply day-in, day-out in communicating our research responsibly – across a wide range of research areas including climate change, agriculture, meteorology, food nutrition and cardiovascular research.

In this case, the Press Office’s role was to support the Professor Warwick and Dr Shah communicate their research to a wider audience. The press release was written to reflect their assessment of the experiment – my team drafts and signs off every single piece of communications material with our academics. It is not in the University’s interests to put factually inaccurate information in the public domain (and to be clear, we amended the release on Tuesday to describe ‘Eugene’ more accurately).

Both Professor Warwick and Dr Shah, as she wrote to you, stand by the press release. In short, if you disagree with the press release, then you disagree with the Turing Test experiment run by them.

I am somewhat bemused on your wider point of “media hysteria” generated solely by our press release.  I have 10 years of national media experience – mainly in Whitehall comms.  Journalists are not automatons who regurgitate anything put in front of them.

We made Professor Warwick and Vladimir Veselov (Eugene’s designer) available for interview – both have been interviewed by dozens of print, online and broadcast journalists around the world this week who were able to challenge the findings. In addition – Professor Warwick has blogged for The Independent to respond to some of the debate: http://www.independent.co.uk/biography/kevin-warwick-9528851.html

Throughout, he has been clear that Eugene is a clever but limited computer programme – he has been careful not to talk up its technical prowess.

I am sorry you do not feel we have been accurate. You have a right to your view. But I fear we will have to agree to disagree. As I said, the results of the experiment will be submitted for peer review and published in due course. I am happy to make sure that you have a copy.

Very kind regards,

Charles

EMAIL 3 from Simon

Dear Charles,

Thanks for your reply.

I am sorry, but I am not satisfied with your reply.

1. I would like the VC to reply and confirm that Sir David personally stands by this press release, or at least supports the press office’s judgement in this matter. I am not surprised that you stand by your own press release, but I am more concerned about the view of a senior figure at the university.

2. Your statement “Throughout, he has been clear that Eugene is a clever but limited computer programme – he has been careful not to talk up its technical prowess.” conflicts with the statements in the press release, highlighted in my previous email:

An historic milestone in artificial intelligence …. Turing Test was passed for the very first time … This historic event … “In the field of Artificial Intelligence there is no more iconic and controversial milestone than the Turing Test… This milestone will go down in history as one of the most exciting.”

3. I assume that you have no problem with this correspondence being made public, and that Huma is happy for her reply to be made public.

Regards,

Simon.

Congratulations to libel defendant Lesley Kemp & £778.87 for the Libel Reform Campaign

You may remember the terrible case of Lesley Kemp, a transcriber who was sued for libel after tweeting about her delayed payment last year. In April 2013, the Guardian headline read: “Typist who complained about alleged late payment on Twitter faces lawsuit: Qatar-based businessman sues Lesley Kemp for libel over comments on Twitter in case that could cost her £150,000.”

Facing bankruptcy, Lesley was in a desperate situation, but the general public donated £1,900 to cover some of her legal cost and she was able to defend her right to free speech, with Robert Dougans of Bryan Cave by her side. Robert, of course, defended me in BCA v Singh.

The good news is that the case against Lesley was dropped, as reported by the BBC in November 2013. You can read Lesley’s own account of her battle with Mr Kirby Kearns of Resolution Productions in her own blog.

It was one of the last libel cases before the Defamation Act came into force on Jan 1, 2014, and in many ways showed why the law needed changing. Robert Dougans told me: “It is gratifying that the case was dropped, but a shame it was ever started if Kearns was able but unwilling to pay security. Also, the award of indemnity costs should be an example to lawyers and litigants that the Courts are getting less tolerant of “gamesmanship” and aggressive conduct, and will want people to act in a sensible and proportionate way in fighting cases. Hopefully this will mean that libel cases become less heated and parties and lawyers focus on resolving a case rather than scoring points.”

The bad news is that the Libel Reform Campaign is still busy, because Northern Ireland has not adopted the new Defamation Act, and seems reluctant to correct a set of laws that are clearly hostile to free speech. You can find out more about libel reform in N.I. in the Belfast Telegraph.

Hence, the Libel Reform Campaign still needs your support, so please visit the campaign’s Just Giving page if you can spare a fiver.

Moreover, the Lesley Kemp fund still has £778.37 leftover after paying various court fees. Lesley has suggested the money be donated to the Libel Reform Campaign, so thanks from me and the rest of the campaign to everyone who supported Lesley. We hope you agree that your money is still going to a good cause.